Jan. 25, 2021

SB LV is set – Are Oddsmakers Backing TB or KC?

SB LV is set – Are Oddsmakers Backing TB or KC?

It all started on Thursday, September 10, 2020 when the Chiefs squeaked out a 34-20 win over the Texans on Thursday Night Football.  255 regular season games and 12 playoff matchups later, the Chiefs are still playing, as they’ll matchup against the Tom Brady led Tampa Bay Buccaneers on February 7, 2021 in Super Bowl 55, with Tampa being the first team to play the Super Bowl in their home stadium.


The greatest quarterback of all-time will battle the greatest quarterback in the game today.  Tom Brady, playing in his tenth Super Bowl, will lead the Bucs, champions of the NFC, after seven straight wins, going 6-1 against the spread in that time.  Brady will be the fourth quarterback in NFL history (Craig Morton, Peyton Manning, Kurt Warner) to lead two different teams in the Super Bowl. 


Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are making their second consecutive appearance in the title game.  They are favored by 3 on February 7, have won 12 of their last 13 games, straight up, and covered the spread for the first time this post-season.  They have covered the spread only twice in their last 10 games.


With the rotating schedule the NFL uses to determine Super Bowl home-team, the Bucs (+3) are truly the first team to play a Super Bowl game in their home stadium.  With the spread favoring the Chiefs (-3) and an O/U of 57, look for a high-scoring game as both secondaries will most-likely struggle against both these quarterbacks, and Timm’s pick is for the Buccaneers and Tom Brady to win outright by the score of 35-31, covering the O/U.  But that’s just my pick.  What says you?